NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +27.9%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	6.8 [342]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -20.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.02	-0.03	26	62%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.03	0.00	6	82%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	26	44%	0.04	5	-0.11	7	57%	-0.10
Josh Hart	-0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.03	-0.16	0.01	7	62%	-0.04	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.00	14	70%	0.36	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	13	66%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.09	-0.00	8	31%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.19	-0.25	0.01	26	66%	0.09	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.6	32.3	15.4	27.6	3.5	40.5	147.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +7.9%

IND +12.2%

IND +32.4%

NYK -2.1%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	14.5	111.6	120.7	113.9
season	15.6	13.7		117.0	120.1
opponent	14.6	14.4		117.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	16.1	17.0	15.0	16.1
IND	14.0	12.7	16.5	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	57	56	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-16	27	14.9	18.0	-3.11	15.7	13.1	2.61
Jericho Sims	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	13.8	16.4	-2.61	13.2	14.8	-1.52
Precious Achiuwa	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	1	-7	18.0	14.7	3.23	14.8	14.5	0.35
Alec Burks	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	16.5	15.8	0.64	13.4	15.7	-2.23
Isaiah Hartenstein	76	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	16.4	15.2	1.22	15.0	13.4	1.59
Jalen Brunson	77	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	1	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.31	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Josh Hart	85	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	3	-11	16.1	16.7	-0.63	14.6	15.3	-0.77
Donte DiVincenzo	87	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	16.1	17.0	-0.94	14.8	13.4	1.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	66	68	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.37	24	-19	43	14.8	14.2	0.57	17.1	13.8	3.30
Aaron Nesmith	72	77	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.33	22	-17	39	14.1	16.7	-2.69	17.1	12.2	4.90
Tyrese Haliburton	71	74	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-11	27	15.2	12.8	2.37	16.6	14.4	2.19
Pascal Siakam	56	62	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-10	25	13.8	16.0	-2.23	16.9	14.8	2.07
Andrew Nembhard	57	59	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-3	11	15.2	13.8	1.40	16.7	15.2	1.56
Ben Sheppard	32	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	8	-11	14.4	14.7	-0.31	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Obi Toppin	40	37	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.04	-17	22	-39	15.3	14.1	1.25	14.6	17.1	-2.48
T.J. McConnell	40	39	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	0.06	-21	26	-47	14.6	14.6	0.02	14.0	17.6	-3.63
Isaiah Jackson	26	27	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.02	-19	24	-43	14.2	14.8	-0.57	13.8	17.1	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,1	90.9%
PHX 87, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.72,1	90.7%
OKC 99, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	90.1%